Andre Esteves, the head of fixed income at UBS and the chairman of its LatAm business, was apparently in talks with Jorge Paulo Lemann, a founder of GP Investments, to buy out Pactual’s investment banking unit, say executives within and outside the Sao Paulo-based firm. Esteves was apparently approached by former Pactual partners at UBS to help them take back the boutique sold to the Swiss bank for $2.5bn in December 2006. Already discontented with being employees of the global bank, a number of partners became incensed when they found out their year-end compensation might be delivered partially in stock – a stark change to the all cash bonus culture of Pactual, says an executive at the shop. In February, local paper Valor reported UBS had rejected a buyout offer from Esteves and Lemann, two of Brazil’s wealthiest businessmen, worth over $1bn each. “Andre Esteves is not in discussions with any party or parties concerning the possible acquisition of all or part of the businesses of UBS Latin America,” says a UBS spokeswoman. “Andre Esteves remains committed to the strategy of UBS Investment Bank and his leadership of the [fixed income, currencies and commodities] business.” The alleged Esteves pitch, which comes just months after the Brazilian executive was elevated to head the bank’s ailing fixed income division, appears to undermine the sense that the merger between Pactual and UBS is running smoothly. The defection of Alexandre Bettamio, former co-head of Brazil investment banking, last week to Merrill is another sign that relations are frayed.
Yearly Archives: 2008
Moody’s Upgrades Ecuador to B3
Moody’s has upgraded Ecuador to B3 (stable) from Caa2. The action is supported by the easing of financial difficulties owing to high oil prices and low likelihood of a switch by the government in its policy of remaining current on its accounts to implement the social agenda. However, the agency sees dim prospects of further upgrades in the medium term, citing the elimination of the oil savings fund by the new fiscal framework. “This is an issue of concern for creditworthiness, particularly given Ecuador’s traditionally weak institutions,” Moody’s says. The agency also notes that Ecuador likely registered the lowest growth rate among global energy-producers last year, in part due to a contraction in investment amid policy uncertainty.
JPMorgan Moves Treasury Unit to Sao Paulo
JPMorgan has relocated the headquarters of its treasury and security services unit for LatAm to Sao Paulo from New York. The move includes the relocation of unit head Mike McKenzie. The shop recently hired Leonardo Lima as head of treasury and securities services in Brazil and treasury services products for LatAm, and appointed Jose Antonio Serrano executive director and country head for Mexico. The treasury services unit offers payment, collection, liquidity and investment management, trade finance, logistics, commercial card and information solutions. “Other US and international banks manage Latin America from New York or Miami. We feel that it is extremely important for us to be in the region every day, closer to our clients and the markets,” says McKenzie.
LatAm Flows Holding Up
LatAm equity funds remain resilient, despite global turmoil. EM equity lost money last week, but Brazil equity funds absorbed fresh money as investors sought hedges to offset dollar weakness, says EPFR Global. The commodities story softened the blow for LatAm equity, which saw only modest outflows. EM local currency bond funds also attracted cash, continuing trend towards domestic markets.
Citi Cuts EM Growth Outlook
Citi has cut its EM GDP growth forecast by 0.4 percentage points in 2008 to 6.1%, and 0.5 percentage points in 2009 to 5.8%. “In the absence of a serious commodity downturn, our forecasts for the commodity producers in Latin America are the least affected across emerging markets,” says the shop. “That said, a number of countries show real appreciation that seem out of line with their current account positions or their overall vulnerability to external shocks.” This includes Brazil, where Citi says, “appreciation looks aggressive relative to its current account position” and may reflect a high interest differential. “We expect that differentiation to widen further in coming months as the Fed cuts policy rates and Brazil hikes them,” adds the shop. It also warns that Brazil could face a more serious downturn in risk appetite or a more rapid growth deceleration that triggers less aggressive rate moves.
Expectations Soar for Vale-Xstrata
Brazil-based bankers and other executives close to the process say they are sure that Vale, the Brazilian mining giant, will succeed in acquiring Switzerland’s Xstrata. It is a matter of time and hammering out final details, including commodity marketing rights for Glencore, which has a 35% stake in Xstrata. People familiar with what will be by far the biggest M&A deal ever for LatAm, at around $90bn, are encouraged by talks that took place in Rio earlier this month between Vale CEO Roger Agnelli, Xstrata CEO Mick Davis and Glencore CEO Ivan Glasenberg. Proving that there is still a lot of cash out there for the right high grade names, $50bn in financing for the deal is advancing, with invitations out to a number of prospective participants. Bankers expect a bridge including an $8bn 18-month tranche at Libor plus 60bp and a $10bn 2-year at 75bp. A $15bn 3.5-year term loan is said to be priced at around 100bp over Libor. In export finance, a $15bn 5-year piece is heard at 120bp while a $2bn 7-year piece has apparently slid up to 150bp over Libor from an earlier 140bp. Santander, HSBC, Credit Suisse, RBS via ABN AMRO, Lehman, Citi, and BNP are all heard participating as leads, having committed to tickets of up to $7.5bn in some cases. Bankers supporting the deal play up the company’s dominance in a hot sector and increasing diversification out of LatAm. Investors are worried that Vale is biting off more than it can chew, but this deal looks close to being signed.
Brazil’s Vision Pursues Renewable Energy
Vision, the Sao Paulo-based asset manager, is close to wrapping up capital raising for a renewable clean energy company sized at close to $400m. “We’re seeing interesting flow – there is appetite from investors,” says Amaury Junior, founder of Vision, who runs the new entity. The company, which has already amassed about $285m, will focus on energy generated from ethanol and cane bagasse, as well as building a portfolio of small hydroelectric plants. Vision started roadshowing the offer during November’s choppy period. “We were quite successful, given the market conditions, through the capital raising,” says Junior. A last round of fund raising is planned for later in the year. Vision in general is getting more into alternative investment, including private equity. It raised the first $70m tranche of a $300m Brazil real estate private equity fund last week. The vehicle is a joint venture with Moore Capital that aims to purchase and retrofit office space, develop low-income housing and seek out other real estate-related opportunities.
Peru to Prepay IDB, World Bank Debt
Peru plans to prepay about $1.1bn of its debt to the World Bank and IDB by mid-year, according to local news and wire reports citing finance ministry official Jose Miguel Ugarte. It will use treasury funds to finance the repurchase of $620m in debt from the World Bank and $497m from the IDB, and is also considering the sale of new PES-denominated debt. Peru repurchased $838m in outstanding Brady bonds March 7. The planned buyback will be Peru’s biggest since a $1.8bn repurchase of Paris Club debt in July.
LatAm, Brazil Equities Among Favorites: ML
LatAm is the preferred emerging market of choice for global equity investors in the next 12 months, according the most recent Merrill Lynch investor survey. And Brazil, along with Russia, is the top rated BRIC country, says the report, which polled 193 managers representing $676bn in AUM between March 7 and March 13. While managers were very underweight in LatAm in January, their average position changed over February and in March the region enjoys the only overweight position. Meanwhile they are neutral in EMEA and underweight in Asia. Within the BRICs, Brazil’s overweight rating has increased since January, while Russia’s has decreased from a dominant position. India and China have seen underweight positions all year so far. Brazil and Russia also enjoy the highest country allocations within all EM, followed by Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia.
Usiminas Denies CEO Departure Rumors
An Usiminas official denied rumors that the company’s long-standing CEO Rinaldo Soares would be stepping down after a shareholder’s assembly in May. Contacted by LatinFinance, the official, who asked not to be named, dismissed the rumors as untrue, declining to comment further. A report in Brazilian paper Valor Wednesday speculates Soares will be replaced by Marco Antonio Castello Branco, an executive at the Brazilian subsidiary of French steelmaker Vallourec-Mannesmann.
