Posted inDaily Brief

Palocci Forecasts Strong 2006 Growth For Brazil; Budget Deficit At 11-Month High

Brazil’s finance minister, Antonio Palocci, has said he believes the country will experience strong growth next year of around 5%. However, economists are predicting average growth of about 3.5% and see Palocci’s forecast as too optimistic. Slowing inflation has recently allowed the central bank to cut Brazil’s high interest rates from 19.75% in September to its current rate of 18%. Further cuts are expected to stimulate growth. Meantime, increased government spending pushed the budget deficit up to $4 billion, its highest level in almost a year. Economists believe this will make it harder for Brazil to lower borrowing costs and reduce its debt in the medium to long term. And many are certain that spending will increase into next year ahead of elections in October.

Posted inDaily Brief

Brazil Record Current Account Surplus

Brazil’s current account surplus widened to a record level in November, driven by increased exports. The surplus reached $1.74 billion compared with a deficit of $222 million in the same month last year. The surplus in October was $911 million. FDI year on year was down slightly, recording $1.18 billion compared with $1.32 billion in November 2004. The government expects the year to end with a record surplus of $14.5 billion.

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