For the week ended September 14, EM bonds registered net inflows of $558m, according to EPFR Global. Meanwhile, Lipper data show that in the week ended September 15, EM debt funds lost 2.27%, but are still up 3.40% year-to-date. Global income funds lost 0.85% in the week, and have earned 4.23% ytd. International income funds lost 0.86% in the week, though they have earned 5.57% ytd.
Category: Bonds
Low Mexican Rates to Lure Issuers
More foreign issuers are likely to try to tap the local Mexican markets in coming months given the attractiveness of the rate and swap environment, Ricardo Velazquez, managing director of the financial institutions group at Banorte-IXE, tells LatinFinance. “Rates are on the decline and the market has discounted some of that,” adds Velazquez. “We have never seen these kinds of rates and it is very stable.” This comes after recent MXP issues from several European banks as well as Chile’s Banco de Credito e Inversiones (BCI). Mexico’s interbank rate TIIE was being quoted at around 4.75% Friday, but according to Velazquez was recently as low as 4.60%. Since mid-August though, issuance has been slow, with Pemex recently putting off a domestic sale that could have reached MXP15bn ($1.16bn) in size. Others awaiting issuance include Ford Credit, Banco Compartamos and ICA, but bankers are able to give little indication of when the pipeline is likely to resume.
Minerva Eyes Mid-Term Horizon for Bond
Brazilian beef company Minerva is considering a 2-4 month window to issue in either BRL or USD as it wraps up fixed-income investor meetings this week. The buyside has cash to put to work, but it is likely to demand a high premium if a junk credit like Minerva should opt for a global BRL bond, especially in a market that remains risk averse. “The number one focus is to tell Minerva’s story, but if there is an arbitrage opportunity [the company] will consider issuing in BRL,” says a person familiar with the company’s plans. For now, however, the borrower is gauging investor sentiment before venturing forth. “We are not planning to make any moves without feeling what the market is thinking about us first,” says Minerva IR official Francisco Assis. People familiar with the matter say talk about a potential BRL300m ($176m) 5-year is premature, and that for now the company is trying to assess where a single B credit could price. Indeed, it is still a matter for debate whether a sub-investment grade name like Minerva could even print a global BRL bond at this point. “I think it will be difficult to pull off,” says one investor. “[But] the fact that [BRL/USD] is currently at 1.71, versus 1.55 a few weeks back is a positive, and represents a better entry point for any BRL-indexed investor.” The problem is that investors have already had their fill of investment-grade BRL bonds at relatively attractive yields, including Coelba’s BRL400m 11.75% 2016 and Brasil Telecom’s BRL1.1bn 9.75% 2016. To interest accounts, Minerva would have to offer higher levels than these trades and come with a decent premium to its USD-denominated 2019s, which were trading at around 10.77% area on a yield-to-worst basis as of Friday. “If they are willing to pay 15%-17% they may find demand,” but such levels could also reprice Brazil’s corporate BRL curve, says a rival banker. Still Minerva does have certain technicals working in its favor. “Investors’ cash levels appear higher today than earlier in
Taesa Lines Up Banks
Cemig’s Transmissora do Atlantico de Energia Eletrica (Taesa) is most likely to hire Bradesco, Citi, and Santander to manage an international bond transaction as it seeks to finance the purchase of a 50% stake in Abengoa Brasil, CFO Luiz Fernando Rolla tells LatinFinance. “We haven’t finished the list yet as we are considering other banks,” he adds. The electrical transmission company is seeking BRL1.2bn ($703m), though it is still evaluating whether it will opt for a BRL or USD-denominated transaction. “A global BRL is one of the preferred alternatives, though if we do a dollar deal we have to consider hedging costs associated with that transaction,” he says. Rolla estimates 30 days before the company will commence a roadshow to meet with investors. In June, Spanish engineering company Abengoa announced its intention to sell a 50% stake in four transmission concessions and 100% of concession company NTE in Brazil for EUR485m ($673m) in cash to Cemig. Considered one of the largest electric power transmission companies in Brazil, Taesa was established in 2006 as a holding company under the name Terna Participacaoes. Taesa last came to market in 2010 when it raised BRL600m through a 2-tranche domestic debenture offering, via Banco do Brasil, BTG Pactual, Citibank and HSBC.
Telemar Plans Local Bond
Brazil’s Telemar plans to raise BRL500m ($294m) in domestic 2018 bonds, it says. The notes sold through the Telemar Participacoes unit will pay the DI rate plus 1.35%. The telecom, which recently raised a global BRL1bn bond, is looking for funds to repay maturing debt. Banco do Brasil is managing the sale, done under the rule 476 restricted format and is rated Aa1 on a national scale.
Banco do Brasil Preps Int’l Bond
Banco do Brasil is heard having awarded a mandate for another international bond transaction, according to bankers following the deal. A frequent issuer, Banco do Brasil last came to market in May when it issued $1.5bn in 2022 bonds (Baa2) via BAML, Banco do Brasil, BNP Paribas, JPMorgan and Banco Votorantim.
CCR AutoBan Selects Banks
CCR AutoBan has mandated Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML), Bradesco, BTG Pactual, Itau and JPMorgan to lead an international bond transaction, according to one of the mandated banks. Size and currency have yet to be determined though a global BRL is one option being considered. The Brazilian toll road operator was heard sounding out the US buyside via BAML early August. CCR AutoBan is a subsidiary of Companhia de Concessoes Rodoviarias (CCR), an infrastructure company that is involved in highway concession, passenger transportation and the environmental vehicular inspection sectors. CCR and its subsidiaries have yet to issue in the dollar markets, according to Dealogic data, though are frequent domestic issuers.
Copec Gets Local Issue
Empresas Copec has raised UF1.3m ($60m) in a domestic bond sale, it says, bringing the first new issue to that market in about a month. The Chilean fuel and forestry conglomerate priced the inflation-linked 2021 bonds at 98.75 with a 3.25% coupon to yield 3.40%, or Chilean government bonds plus 115bp. Copec has marked the proceeds for financing its investment plan. IMTrust managed the sale, rated AA on a national scale. The deal comes out of a possible issuance of UF1.5m that also included the possibility of CLP-denominated 2021bonds. An up to UF2m 2041 deal from electricity holdco Grupo Saesa had also been expected as soon as this week, though a banker on it says a definitive date has not been set and it would come next week at the soonest.
EM Debt Shows Continued Investor Appetite
EM debt has seen slower but continued inflows, as investors remain keen on the asset class despite global market volatility. “Emerging markets have been resistant and have outperformed,” says David Spegel global head of EM strategy at ING. Spegel adds that while euro zone worries are driving investor sentiment at the moment, continued fund flows means investors are still interested in emerging markets. EM bond funds posted a year-to-date inflow of $21.4bn compared with approximately $41.7bn the same period last year, according to EPFR. From June 30 through this week there has been $6.4bn in inflows compared with $17.3bn in the same period last year. “Flows will continue, as people need yields,” says Robert Abad research analyst at Western Asset Management Company (Wamco). The gas, oil and telecom sectors are among those offering attractive opportunities for investment at the moment, Abad says. Though there has been an estimated $200bn in new issuance seen from emerging markets year-to-date, according to Aaron Holsberg, fixed-income analyst at Santander, global concerns including a US slowdown make it difficult to predict future EM issuance. Anne Milne, managing director of EM corporate research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, estimates $160bn in new issuance year-to-date with $80bn in new issuance out of Latin America alone. Milne says with only five deals in all EM done over the past week, however, investors are being selective and taking more of a wait-and-see approach. All spoke on an EMTA panel in New York.
Lojas Americanas Completes Local Bond
Brazilian retail chain Lojas Americanas has closed a BRL500m ($292m) domestic bond, according to Anbima. The BRL500m 7-year pays 113% of the DI rate, and amortizes in 3 equal parts in years 5, 6 and 7. Americanas is raising funds to replace debt due this year. Banco do Brasil managed the sale, done under the rule 476 restricted format. Last week, the retailer agreed to sell BRL293m in 2017 convertible debentures to government development bank BNDES. The bonds to be purchased by the bank’s BNDESPar unit pay a fixed rate of 13.15%, and are convertible at a BRL19.25 per share price at any time.
