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Santander Order Book Bulges

Santander Brazil is poised to raise up to BRL15.6bn in its IPO today. The bank is offering 525m shares, an amount that can be increased by 75m in greenshoe shares and 25m in hot issue shares. Pricing is slated to fall somewhere between BRL22.00-BRL25.00. If it prices the deal at the BRL23.50 midpoint of the range, Santander would raise BRL14.7bn. US-based investors say the order book for the deal is heard subscribed by more than 5x, which indicates the issuer may have a comfortable margin to price near or at the top of the range. Bankers off the deal and investors concur, saying they expect pricing to come somewhere in the top half of the deal, but don’t expect the price to rise above the stated range. One investor is hopeful for a pop in the share price Wednesday, when they begin to trade, given the strong demand and the fact the bank and its investment banks will be focused on ensuring investors do well in the offering. Executives involved in the trade say that if Santander prices its offering at the midpoint of the range, its valuation on a 2010 P/E ratio would stand at a discount of 13% to Bradesco’s in the comparable period. If the offering is priced at the top of the range, Santander’s PE would be higher than Bradesco’s, adds an investor on the deal. On a P/B basis, a midpoint pricing suggests a 19% discount to Bradesco and a 30% discount to Itau Unibanco, using 2009 figures, note sellsiders. The deal is being led by Santander, Credit Suisse, BofA Merrill and BTG Pactual.

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Shopping Mall Retries IPO

Aliansce Shopping Centers, a Brazilian mall operator, has refiled plans to go public. The company pulled its planned $330m IPO in 2007 as market conditions for smaller issuers deteriorated. Credit Suisse and UBS Pactual were slated to lead that trade. BofA Merrill are heard leading the new transaction.

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Midcap IPO Flounders in Secondary Waters

Tivit, the Brazilian IT outsourcer which brought LatAm’s first midcap IPO in more than a year, has failed to impress investors, setting an initially discouraging precedent for the region’s medium-sized IPO hopefuls. In its first four trading sessions, the stock has slid 13%, and may be poised for a bigger drop in the coming days once the deal’s underwriters run out of greenshoe shares to support the trade in the secondary. Several midcap issuers are heard hoping for a window, but investor interest appears tepid. Direcional, a homebuilder that filed for an offering a month ago, has yet to launch its issuance procedures, suggesting it may be considering pulling the deal, say bankers away from the process. Credit Suisse led Tivit’s IPO, which consisted of 38m shares priced at BRL15.00, a discount of 19% to the midpoint of the proposed pricing range.

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Homebuilder Follow-On Fates Diverge

Two Brazilian homebuilders priced follow-ons last night, but only one emerges victoriously. PDG Realty and Rossi Residencial operate in what investors are calling a positive environment for Brazilian homebuilding, given strong internal demand, falling interest rates and a robust low-income initiative by the government. But PDG, whose stock has more than doubled since its IPO, is the only one of the two that has consistently drawn investor praise in the days leading up to pricing. In line with this sentiment, the company priced 67.2m shares yesterday at BRL14.00, a 2% discount to the close. It saw an order book worth some 4x the issue and was able to upsize the offering by 11.2m shares, say bankers on it. Another 8.4m shares are expected to be traded into the market by the underwriters BTG Pactual, Itau BBA, Goldman Sachs and BofA Merrill. That would bring gross proceeds to BRL1.06bn. Rossi Residencial’s fate is quite different. The company’s stock took a 6.6% walloping on the day of pricing as investors sought to reposition ahead of what was expected to be a challenging pricing, speculate bankers off the trade. That drop is well below the Bovespa’s 1.7% loss on Thursday. Rossi’s shares were priced at BRL12.50, according a statement posted on the CVM’s site. That’s a 6% discount to the BRL13.30 closing price and a 12.3% discount to Wednesday’s close. The statement says the company exercised a hot issue of 11m shares, bringing the total offering to 66m shares, resulting in gross proceeds of BRL825m, plus greenshoe shares that could raise an additional BRL104m for the company. One investor watching the deal says Rossi was heard to have barely covered its book one time by the close at a discount of 5% discount. Bankers on the Rossi trade did not return request for comment. Credit Suisse led the Rossi deal, with Bradesco BBI and Santander as joint leads.

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Brookfield Clinches Debenture, Eyes Equity

Brazilian homebuilder Brookfield Incorporacoes says it received proceeds of BRL100m from the placement of a 2013 debenture that pays IPCA plus 10.25%. The sale was approved Tuesday and placed in the same day with local funds by underwriter BTG Pactual. The notes amortize in two portions, starting in month 36 of the 4-year deal, and again in month 48. Fitch rates Brookfield A+ on a national scale. The company is also en-route to the equity markets, with an equity offering scheduled for October 20 via Itau BBA, Credit Suisse, BTG Pactual and Bradesco BBI. The offering is set to include 85m shares plus a greenshoe, which could bring the total number of share to 98m. At the company’s Tuesday closing price of BRL7.80, gross proceeds could reach BRL762m.

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CCR Follow-On to Top BRL1bn

Brazilian concessions operator CCR has updated its plans for an equity offering. It plans to offer 33m primary shares October 21 via Itau BBA as lead, with BTG Pactual and BofA-Merrill joint-leads. The offering can be increased by 15% through a greenshoe. At Monday’s close of BRL29.16, the offering would result in gross proceeds of BRL1.1bn. Proceeds are being use to acquire new concessions and finance existing ones, including a portion of the Linha Quatro Sao Paulo metro line, and part of the ring road that circles the city of Sao Paulo.

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JPM Set to Lose DCM/ECM Crown

JPMorgan leads the LatAm rankings, according to Dealogic, but a looming jumbo Venezuela sovereign bond and Santander Brazil’s mega-IPO appear set to topple the US bank. For the year to September 25, JPMorgan had booked $6.2bn in proceeds from 16 deals, some 11% of the market. In second place is HSBC with $5.5bn from 27 deals, while third is Citi ($5.0bn from 39 deals). Unusually for DCM, where those claiming most volume often work for less, JPMorgan also bags the biggest wallet share, Dealogic data – which include local market transactions – show. The bank has racked up $32.8m, or 16.2% share of DCM fees. In second place is Citi ($17.3m, 8.5%) and third is Santander ($14.4m, 7.1%). However, this week’s $3bn Venezuela sovereign trade should propel Citi to the top of the volume charts and put Deutsche Bank back in the top 10, at least by proceeds. The joint leads are expected to bring the jumbo sovereign in 10 and 15-year tranches this week, pushing JPMorgan down to second position. JPMorgan meanwhile still heads the ranking for LatAm M&A and ECM volume in the year to September 25. However, it also looks likely to be dislodged from equity pole position by next week’s BRL13bn IPO for Santander, which is led by Santander and Credit Suisse. For overall fees, including M&A, DCM, ECM and loans, JPMorgan is top with $117.4m, or 14.1% market share through September 25. Next is Bradesco, ($86.4m, 10.4%), which is coasting on senior participation in VisaNet’s blowout $4.26bn June IPO, according to Dealogic.

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Rossi Updates Follow-On

Brazilian homebuilder Rossi has updated its plans to issue shares. The company is targeting a 55m sale of primary, ordinary shares. At a price of BRL13.65, the company estimates gross proceeds will total BRL750m. Pricing is scheduled for October 1. Credit Suisse is running the deal, with Bradesco BBI and Santander as joint leads.

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Midcap IPO Comes Up Short

Brazilian IT outsourcer Tivit succeeded in pricing its long anticipated IPO late Thursday, but at BRL570m, the mid-cap test fell short of the issuer’s initial expectations. The company priced all of the 38m shares it sought to place at BRL15.00, a 19% discount to the originally proposed BRL16.50 midpoint, and a 27% discount to the top of the proposed range of BRL20.50. At BRL20.50, gross proceeds would have added up to BRL779m. “It’s a difficult one to value because there are not a lot of obvious comps,” says a banker away from the deal. An investor looking at it says the book was heard not even fully subscribed on the afternoon of pricing, though the fact the transaction got done suggests it was eventually filled at the lower level investors were presumably demanding. Tivit is the first midsize company to do an IPO in Brazil this year, and its deal is a test of the prospects for smaller issuers. Direcional Engenharia, a homebuilder, is the next medium sized issuer in the IPO pipeline. Tivit was led by Credit Suisse, with Morgan Stanley and Bradesco as joint leads.

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