Mexico’s fixed-income investor meetings in Japan at the end of August were successful, and may result in a Samurai bond transaction as soon as market conditions permit, according to a person familiar with the sovereign’s plans. A transaction could occur before year-end but may be issued sooner depending on market conditions. “We cannot deny the possibility of a transaction, but we are not sure if it will take place in October, November or December,” the person familiar added. Should Mexico pursue a Samurai it would be looking at JPY30-50bn ($393m-$655m) size with a 2, 3, or 5 year tenor, the person familiar added. Alejandro Diaz de Leon, the country’s public credit head, previously told LatinFinance last month that Mexico intended to build a long-term investor base in Japan and become a frequent Samurai issuer. Initially, Mexico was looking at a 5-year tenor at around $500m equivalent for its potential Samurai. Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, Citigroup and Nomura led the investor meetings. Mexico last issued JPY150bn ($1.8bn) of 10-year bond at a 1.51% yield in October.
Category: Japan
Mexico Considers 5-Year on Standalone Samurai
Mexico is looking at a tenor in the 5-year range as it prepares to engage Japanese investors next week about the possibly of issuing a Samurai bond without a JBIC guarantee. “Since it will be the first issue in a long time from a triple B sovereign without a JBIC guarantee the sweet spot is in the 5-year range, though there are investors willing to have a longer tenor,” Alejandro Diaz de Leon, the country’s public credit head, tells LatinFinance. Size will also likely be comparatively small at around $500m equivalent, he adds. Up until now, Mexico has sought longer maturities but with the aid of a JBIC guarantee, most recently selling JPY150bn ($1.8bn) of 10-year bonds at a 1.51% yield in October. Coming out on a standalone basis is part of a natural evolution for issuers wanting to establish a permanent presence in this market. JBIC’s program was designed to support such initial approaches before issuers were ready to go out on their own, Diaz says. While investor meetings next week via Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, Citigroup and Nomura will provide a clearer picture of whether there is sufficient appetite for such a trade, Diaz says Mexico has proven popular among investors despite recent volatility. “Mexico is a sound credit that can provide some cushion and diversification away from markets that are more volatile,” he adds. Technical may also favor the sovereign as there has been a dearth of paper form utilities in the wake of the recent tsunami, creating a window of opportunity for a borrower like Mexico.
Mexico to Meet Japanese Investors
Mexico is set to kick off non-deal roadshows in Japan as it eyes the possibility of tapping the Samurai market without a JBIC guarantee. Citigroup, Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi and Nomura are taking the sovereign to meet Japanese accounts next week, but with so much uncertainty hanging over the markets it remains unclear whether the borrower will pull the trigger. The head of public credit Alejandro Diaz de Leon told LatinFinance earlier this month that the country intended to build a long-term relationship with this investor base and wants to be a frequent Samurai issuer. In October last year, it used a JBIC guarantee when it sold JPY150bn ($1.8bn) of 10-year yen-denominated bonds at a 1.51% yield, getting JPY300bn in demand. A deal without a JBIC guarantee has been a long-term goal of the government, but Japanese investors have so far been unwilling to take the leap. Whether they will this time is unclear in light of recent volatility. The country is directly exposed to any downturn in US economic growth, but in many ways it has a good story to tell. “Disciplined public finances along with low and stable inflation provide [Mexico] room to face external shocks,” Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts say. This came as June retail sales were reported to be higher than expected, helping push the local bolsa up 1.38% on Monday Credit market s were also comparatively stable Monday, but investors are still awaiting a signals from the Fed as to what it might do next to stimulate growth and perhaps prevent the US economy from sinking back into recession. Fed Chairman Bernanke’s speech Friday is expected to provide some clues.
Japanese Buyer Set for Fibria Assets
Japan’s Oji Paper has entered into exclusive talks to purchase the $313m in assets that Brazil’s Fibria put on the block this year. The two could finalize a deal for the real estate and plant assets that make up Fibria’s Piracicaba unit as soon as September 29, marking the last of its non-core assets to go as part of a long-term deleveraging plan. “This asset sale does not affect its main [pulp and forestry] business, and will help reduce debt,” says a Sao Paulo-based analyst who covers the sector. As Fibria had announced in July discussions with several buyers, it likely is getting a good price and a valuation roughly in line with expectations, the analyst says. Goldman Sachs is advising Fibria in the sale. The Piracicaba facility produces heat-sensitive, self-copying and couche paper, at a 160,000 ton per year capacity. The pulp maker was formed after the merger of VCP and Aracruz in 2008 and it is now focusing on reducing leverage to its target 2.0-2.5x range, from the 3.2x net debt/Ebitda for the 12 months to June 30. Fibria is constantly taking out new refinancing instruments to reduce service costs, including an $800m loan and $750m 2021 bond this year. The company has previously indicated that in addition to the sale of non-core assets, options to monetize strategic pulp assets – such as leasing them or other arrangements that do not involve ceding control – would not be ruled out. Fibria is rated BB+/Ba1/BB. Oji is one of the world’s largest paper manufacturers and is on 5 continents. It already has forestry, manufacturing and sales operations in Brazil, through its 40% stake in Cenibra.
Kirin Seen Paying Premium to Enter Brazil
Kirin’s BRL3.95bn ($2.52bn) purchase of a 50.45% stake in Brazilian brewer Schincariol is seen as expensive, but the Japanese acquirer was prepared to pay more than competing bidders as it looks to gain a foothold in Brazil’s high-growth market, analysts say. Although valuations are difficult to calculate independently as Schincariol is private, the acquirer says the deal represents a 15.7x EV/Ebitda price over the 12 months to March 2011. The bid was significantly higher than the value Heineken and SABMiller had put on the asset when they were heard submitting respective bids of BRL2.2bn and BRL1.8bn. But, according to one analyst, such behavior is typical of Japanese acquirers looking to gain exposure to new markets. “It sounds a lot more expensive,” than other deals in the sector, says one Sao Paulo-based equity analyst. AnBev, for example, has an implied EV/Ebitda of around 14x. Meanwhile, by purchasing Schincariol, Heineken and SABMiller could have taken advantage of synergies that simply don’t exist for the Japanese brewer, but both appeared unwilling to match Kirin’s price. In theory, Kirin could reduce the cost of the deal by buying the remaining 49.55% stake from the minority shareholders at a lower multiple, though this seems unlikely given such sellers are already protesting the purchase (See ‘Schin Shareholders Sue to Stop Sale’). Despite expectations to the contrary, the purchase is unlikely to have a major impact on the Brazilian beer and beverage market. It may have been a different story if SAB Miller or Heineken had made the acquisition and taken a major lead over competitors, but a newcomer like Kirin is unlikely to upset the existing dynamics of the market. “I don’t think it really changes anything,” says one equity analyst. That said, the deal now leaves Petropolis as the only major independent brewery in Brazil, should other players want to consolidate their position. Heineken, for example, could choose to take it over now that Schincariol is of
Schincariol Shareholders Sue to Stop Sale
Schincariol Shareholders Sue to Stop Sale
Minority shareholders at Brazilian brewer Schincariol filed suit Tuesday to halt the sale of the 50.45% stake held by their cousins Alexandre and Adriano to Japanese brewery Kirin for BRL3.95bn ($2.52bn). Jose Augusto Schincariol, Daniela Schincariol and Gilberto Schincariol Junior, cousins of the two brothers and holders of the remaining 49.55% stake in Schincariol, are claiming right of first refusal on the basis of the company’s bylaws. This is according to Larissa Teixera Quattrini, head of corporate issues at law firm Teixeira, Martins & Advogados, which has been retained by the minority holders. However, this argument is open to debate as Kirin acquired the holding company not the opco, which is the entity that is named in the change of control clause and entitles the minority shareholders the right of first refusal. The holding company, which was bought in its entirety by Kirin, holds 50.45% of the outstanding shares of Schincariol. Teixera says the minority shareholders were excluded from negotiations between the majority shareholders and Kirin despite having informed the buyers about the relevant bylaw. “The minority shareholders have absolutely no details about how the deal took place,” she says. “There have been many precedents that corporate documents have to be observed.” A judge’s decision on whether to allow the deal to continue is expected within the next several days. The minority holders were themselves heard interested in acquiring the rest of Schincariol and had retained Morgan Stanley to advise them, but were thought to lack the financing. Kirin was unavailable for comment at press time.
PDVSA Signs Loan with Itochu
PDVSA has signed an agreement for a $750m 15 year loan with Japan’s Itochu. Itochu has also signed a 15 year off-take agreement for PDVSA’s Santa Barbara crude oil. JBIC and several commercial banks insured by NEXI have formed a syndicate. The loan to the special purpose company Santa Ines will be extended to PDVSA, which will repay its debt by supplying oil and petroleum products from Venezuela with the off-taking arrangements.
Mexichem Looking for up to $3bn
Mexichem is looking for up to $3bn through a 3-5 year revolving loan facility as it searches for acquisition targets in the chlorine, fluorine and high-end plastics sectors. Although the revolver would be used to finance potential acquisitions, the funding is not deal driven, says a Mexico-based investment banker. “It’s a nice to have for them,” he adds. The chemical conglomerate is looking at 4-5 different targets, he adds, and is planning to vertically integrate three main sectors. In the chlorine supply chain, Mexichem is hoping to acquire upstream assets to reduce costs for its production of PVC and plastics. In the fluorine chain, it has already completed some acquisitions as part of a strategy to buy more downstream refrigeration assets. The banker says it is also looking for targets in the high performance plastics sector, in an effort to sell to the aerospace and health care industries. Mexichem acquired US-based plastic compounding business AlphaGary for $300m in cash last year. CFO Armando Vallejo Gomez told LatinFinance earlier this year that the company plans to keep acquiring companies until it becomes a world leader in the products it sells. As part of its expansion plans, Mexichem recently acquired a fluorocarbon producer in Japan for an undisclosed amount from Showa Denko. The plant generates 10,000 tons of refrigeration gas per year. The company says the acquisition represents a significant step in its plans to accelerate its growth in the refrigeration sector, making it the only producer of R-125 refrigeration gas outside of China.
Asian Investors Raise the Stakes
Asian wealth managers are looking to raise equity exposure while diversifying bond investment in LatAm. The opportunities will continue to grow alongside trade.
Asian Investors Buy Stake in CBMM
A consortium of Asian investors acquired a 15% stake in Brazilian rare earth miner Companhia Brasiliera de Metalurgia e Mieracao (CBMM) for $1.8bn. CBMM produces niobium, a rare earth element used in high-grade steel. According to wire reports citing consortium member South Korea’s National Pension Service, the consortium is paying around $1.8bn for the stake, which would value the company at around $12bn. Nippon Steel, JFE, Kobe Steel, Sumitomo Metal, Posco, Sojitz and the Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation are said to also be consortium members. According to New York-based equity research firm Dahlman Rose, the move is likely an attempt to counter Chinese demand and limited export of rare earth minerals. In October, China temporarily halted the
