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Moody’s Positive on Colombia

Moody’s has upped the outlook on Colombia’s Ba1 rating to positive from stable. It says the main drivers for the brighter view are improved prospects for structural fiscal consolidation, favorable medium-term prospects in oil production and the ability to navigate the global crisis and manage the negative impact of difficult trade relations with Venezuela without sustained damage. Francisco Chaves, a strategist at Colombian research shop Corredores Asociados says this is “the first step leading to an upgrade, which could take between 6-8 months.” In July, S&P, which has a BB minus rating for the sovereign, also lifted Colombia’s outlook to positive.

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Pemex Seeks Retail for $3.25bn Loan

Mexico’s Pemex will be holding New York meetings today with banks, looking for retail participation in a $3.25bn dual tranche syndicated loan, following on from meetings in Mexico Tuesday. The Mexican oil producer is looking for a $1.25bn 3-year revolver, to re-finance a loan maturing this month, for which it is offering a spread of 125bp over Libor. Bookrunners on the deal are Barclays, BBVA, Credit Agricole and RBS, with Credit Agricole as the administrative agent. It is also looking for a new money 5-year term loan for $2bn at L+150bp, for which BBVA, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Citi, HSBC and Inbursa are bookrunners, with BBVA as admin agent. The revolver is to refinance a loan taken in 2007 for $1.25bn that was priced at Libor plus 20bp. Initial comments from some retail banks were that pricing was too tight, given current cost of funding for banks. One banker says the spreads should be double what is being offered in order to make pricing attractive for retail. “The spread on the 5-year is what current costs of funding are for 3 years, so it does not seem attractive from a retail point of view,” adds one.

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Voto to Meet Investors

Votorantim is set to meet the buyside in the US next week, and with the European buyside the following week, investors say. Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Itau are arranging the “non-deal” tour. The Brazilian conglomerate is heard to be planning the trip after meetings earlier in the year were cut short due to the European volcanic ash problem. Votorantim raised EUR750m at its European bond debut and sold $750m in USD markets this year.

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Televisa Fails to Launch in Mexico

Televisa cancelled its much-anticipated 10-year bond issue for up to MXP10bn that was expected yesterday in the domestic market. HSBC and Santander were managing the deal, rated AAA on a national scale. A lead banker said it was due to volatility in the market, and that because the company had no immediate need to issue it chose not to go ahead with the transaction. “The issuer will probably head to the international market instead now as it is deeper, which is more favorable for an issue of this size,” adds the banker. Investors say that the level of recent activity, with bond issues this week by Banamex for MXP6bn and Infonavit for MXP1.5bn, could have also saturated the local bond market. “It is an astute move not to issue, given market conditions, as there could have been a danger of low participation,” says a local investor. Another said an exact price for the transaction had not been defined, but he would have expected around Mbonos plus 120bp.

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Korea Zinc Buys Peru Mine

South Korean zinc smelter Korea Zinc has agreed to acquire Peru’s Pachapaqui mine for $47.5m equivalent cash in won through subsidiaries KZMH in Singapore and PPMMC in Canada. The mine contains 13.5m tons of zinc, silver and copper, and has a daily production capacity of 675 tons, according to Korea Zinc. It is located about 250km north of Lima. The zinc producer will own 100% of the Pachapaqui mine, whose operations had been suspended because of financial difficulty. The seller is ICM Pachapaqui SAC, which is privately owned.

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Mexico DCM Heats Up

Televisa is expected to issue a much-anticipated MXP10bn bond issue today in the domestic market. HSBC and Santander are managing the deal, rated AAA on a national scale. Elsewhere, Infonavit Wednesday issued MXP1.5bn equivalent in a UDI-denominated RMBS deal. Banamex and HSBC were joint leads on the deal, rated AAA on a national scale. The 2038 bonds pay a spread of Udibonos plus 260bp, with the book 1.5x oversubscribed, according to a lead banker. The bonds have an average life of 4 years. “Given the low rates we are seeing at the moment this was a fairly priced deal,” says an investor. Banamex meanwhile issued MXP6bn bonds in a dual tranche deal. A 7-year floater was for MXP4.67bm and priced at 35bp over TIIE, while a 10-year fixed rate tranche priced at 120bp over Mbonos. The issuer had been expected to issue up to MXP7.5bn, though one investor says it preferred to price at a competitive spread than to go for bigger size. The book was over 1.5x over-subscribed, according to a lead banker.

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Peruvian Banks Seek Loan Funding

Banco de Credito del Peru is seeking a $300m 3-year syndicated loan, for which it has mandated Standard Chartered and Citi as lead arrangers. The loan is for general corporate purposes, with bank meetings expected in New York next week. Meanwhile, BBVA Continental, the bank’s Peruvian subsidiary is in the syndication process for a 2-year $100m syndicated loan, via Standard Chartered, says a banker with knowledge of the transaction.

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Peru’s BCP Eyes 275bp Area

Banco de Credito del Peru is talking a yield of UST plus 275bp, plus/minus 5bp, for a new 10-year bond, according to investors following the deal. The 2020 is expected to weigh in at $500m or more, though no official size has been communicated. Moody’s expects up to $1bn from the deal, issued from BCP’s Panamanian branch. With books heard topping $2bn as they were set to close Wednesday afternoon, the transaction is expected to price today. Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Deutsche Bank are managing the Baa2/BBB/BBB minus transaction.

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Mexican Housing Sector Thrives

Moody’s expects Mexico’s housing sector to continue growing, on the back of stable home prices, a growing younger population and an ample supply of mortgage credit for low-income housing. Of the 7 homebuilders Moody’s rates, 6 are on stable outlook, and the majority are among the biggest in Mexico, it says in a report. They are able to thrive thanks to economies of scale, access to capital and sophisticated operating platforms. “Our outlooks on the homebuilders take into consideration their increased growth in 2010, while we expect them to maintain leverage, particularly short-term debt, at modest levels,” Moody’s says. The agency adds that operators have been managed to generate free cashflow and with many increasing land inventories, they are expected to grow. However, it notes that Mexico’s multi-purpose finance companies, Sofomes, have faced rising delinquencies in their loan portfolios, liquidity shortfalls and limited access to capital. Of the 3 rated by Moody’s, 2 are on negative outlook. The sector had previously relied on the securitization market to provide loans, but as this has slowed down it has relied more heavily on the Mexican government’s SHF. However, as this had led to more regulation, it adds to their difficulties and threatens the viability of the structure of Sofomes, says Moody’s.

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