Grupo Empresarial Mar de Cortez (GEMC), the Mexican bus company, has signed a $45m 6-year loan through International Assets Holding Corporation as placement agent. The fixed rate deal pays 10.6%. According to GEMC’s Manuel Palazuelos, the deal helps extend the average maturity of the debt. GEMC operates in Baja California.
Category: Regions
S&P Raises Mexico Banks
S&P has raised its banking industry country risk assessment (BICRA) on Mexico to group 4 from group 5 to reflect a relatively stable Mexican economic and monetary environment, low levels of indebtedness of enterprises and households, expansion and maturation of local capital markets, and the sustained improvement in the financial performance of the banking sector. “Sustained development of the debt markets has expanded the funding sources available to both corporate and financial institutions,” says the agency. “The performance of Mexican banks has improved considerably during the past few years, buoyed by fewer loan losses, a more profitably asset mix geared to higher yielding consumer loans, and improvements in operating efficiency,” it adds. Risks include a lack of political consensus to boost economic growth; shortcomings in the judicial system; and lingering corruption. The BICRA reflects the strengths and weaknesses of a country’s banking system relative to those in other countries and ranges from 1-10.
Grupo Planeta Buys into El Tiempo
Spain’s Grupo Editorial Planeta has taken a 55% stake in Colombia’s El Tiempo media group. An editorial in Friday’s El Tiempo describes the deal as more of a broad strategic partnership than a takeover. El Tiempo is Colombia’s leading daily newspaper and has been going since 1911.
CFE Plans Local Issue
Mexico’s Comisión Federal de Electricidad’s (CFE) is planning to issue up to MXP1.5bn in 2017 certificados bursatiles from a shelf set up by HSBC. Moody’s assigned a Baa1/Aaa.mx, following the proposal to increase the program to MXP12bn from MXP6bn. The rating outlook is stable. The deal will be backed by a senior unsecured term loan from BBVA Bancomer to CFE. The shelf allows issuance of certificados through a trust operated by HSBC Mexico, whose main assets are loans by participating banks to CFE. Through the loans, CFE provides senior unsecured pledges of interest and principal payments to the trust. The amount of certificados bursatiles currently outstanding under the shelf program is MXP3.25bn, say Moody’s. CFE is the Mexican government’s agency responsible for the strategic development, construction, operation, and maintenance of Mexico’s electricity system.
Moody’s Sees High Probability of Mexico Fiscal Reform
Moody’s is assigning a high probability to Mexico’s congress approving the fiscal reforms proposed by President Calderon, by the beginning of September. Mexico’s fiscal system is among the weakest in LatAm, says Moody’s, with tax revenues of only 10% of GDP, about half the ratio seen in most large South American countries,. The reform, which proposes the creation of three new taxes – 19% for corporations, a 20% tax for gambling and a 2% tax on cash bank deposits – should generate additional revenues equal to about 2.8% of GDP by 2012. Without structural changes, the Mexican economy would grow no more than 3.5% in the best case, says Moody’s, adding that even a modified reform adding up to at least 2% of GDP would be “a step forward.” The agency predicts fiscal reform would boost inflows from foreign investors, feeding into higher production capacity. Approval by Congress of Calderon’s fiscal reform would be a huge boost to his presidency, and a triumph for his finance minister Agustin Carstens, who has prioritized fiscal reform since assuming office in 2006.
Fraport Raises Stake in Lima Airport
Germany’s Fraport has increased its stake in the Lima airport operating company to 100% from 42.75%. It plans to sell up to 40 % to Peruvian investors and the IFC and retain at least 60%. The Peruvian airport had revenues of about EUR80m and EBITDA of almost EUR20m in 2006. Fraport says Lima Airport Partners (LAP) has invested about EUR150m in modernizing and expanding the passenger terminal as well as improving airside infrastructure. The airport concession runs for 30 years with an option to extend. Bechtel initially held 42.75% and Peru’s Cosapi had the remaining 14.5%. Bechtel subsequently acquired Cosapi’s and has since opted to leave the airport business.
CentAm/Caribbean Buffeted by EM Storm
Central American and Caribbean sovereign debt lost 1.15% in July, taking them to a year-to-date return of 1.56%, according to Bear Stearns. This was less the 2.83% July loss in the LatAm component of the EMBI+, which tracks the bigger sovereigns, and proves that this region is still a relatively safe haven. However, the problem for investors trying to get out during the global storm is a lack of flow. “Liquidity in this sector has declined to very low levels, according to our trading desk,” says Bear, which is one of the few shops that makes markets in the region. “Investors, generally speaking, are not selling the smaller credits at times like these, but buying is also very muted. Indeed, CDS contracts may be more liquid than cash bonds, which is not common in the Central American and Caribbean credits,” adds Bear. The shop maintains that economic fundamentals are still solid, and blames the rout on hedge fund deleveraging and fear of redemptions among other things. “Credit trends in the emerging markets, including the Central American and Caribbean region are, in our view, unambiguously improving,” says the shop.
NGC Puts New Money Deal on Ice
National Gas Company (NGC) had been planning a return to the international capital markets in the third quarter. But Daniel Sankar, the Trinidad and Tobago gas merchant’s vice president of finance and information management says this has been put on hold because of revised project needs. “We are not planning any new debt for 2007,” Sankar tells LatinFinance. “The big spending will not be done until next year.” NGC typically funds projects 20% with internal resources, and Sankar says there is cash on hand for current projects. A $200m-$300m issue with a 15-year average life had been expected to hit the market. “We are still looking at it,” adds Sankar. A reopening of a $400m 2036 bond issued in early 2006 through Citi and Lehman was being considered. The decision to hold was made before the current volatility.
Infonavit Plans to Target US Investors
Mexico’s largest, government-run, home-finance agency – Instituto Nacional de Fomento a la Vivienda ( Infonavit) says it plans to tap the US market, despite the gloomy market conditions for mortgage-backed securities. The agency – which has so far placed MXN16.4bn of its mortgage-backed Cedevis in Mexico, representing about 39% of all such paper issued in the market – is keen to lure investors from beyond the Mexican borders. The proposed transaction is still subject to permission from the US Securities and Exchange Comission. Grupo Financiero Banamex is advising Infonavit on the US sale.
Bear Raises Panama, Cuts Costa Rica, Barbados, T&T and Grenada
Bear Stearns has reshuffled its CentAm/Caribbean portfolio and predicts that market sentiment will change. The shop upgrades Panama and reduces exposure to Costa Rica, Barbados, T&T and Grenada. “If [sentiment] improves, countries like Belize, whose global bond is trading in the mid-70s in US-dollar terms, are likely to catch a bid, as are countries whose fundamentals are improving rapidly, such as Panama,” says Bear. The move up to outperform for Panama is based on better-than-expected numbers, and Bear concedes that the call may be early and dependent on the overall market.
