Other interesting findings of the Labif poll are that most respondents find it “very unlikely in the foreseeable future” that LatAm will match Asia’s growth. Some 53% of survey respondents give this view, with just 34% saying it was possible this decade. Delegates say that politics is the main factor holding the region back and most do not expect a Brazil upgrade this year. Some 41% of respondents say Colombia could make investment grade by the end of 2008. While 49% of the survey group say ratings agencies are quite important to investment decisions, 68% say that the agencies are behind the curve. Of issuers, 69% say they will increase the proportion of locally denominated issuance in 2007 versus 2006.
Category: Regions
Cemex Prices Euro Perp NC10
Cemex has priced its EUR730m perp NC10 at 179bp over mid-swaps, tight to the 180bp-185bp guidance. The book was heard at EUR3bn and it was placed mostly with European buy-and hold accounts, with some participation from hedge funds and prop desks. Barclays and JPMorgan were the leads. Proceeds are for general funding purposes.
America Movil Treasurer Urges Domestic Reform
Ricardo Rivera, treasurer of LatAm wireless operator América Móvil, urges local regulators in LatAm debt markets to follow Peru and Mexico’s example and allow domestic investors to buy the debt of foreign companies invested in their countries. Rivera told panelists at Labif, “We have seen a lot of [local] investors that want to hold paper of other Latin American names and for regulatory reasons often can’t.” As companies pan out across the region, they are increasingly motivated to fund themselves in the currency of the countries where they have operations, says Rivera. “As an investor in other countries, issuing debt is another natural hedge for your investment and very attractive for corporates like us as a source of funding. “América Móvil has issued at attractive rates in Mexico, Peru and Colombia, but was frustrated by an attempt in Chile. “We found that between the different regulatory entities for pension funds, the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance, there was not much coordination, which is fundamental for any kind of development to be done.” Rivera notes that Mexico’s corporate debt market has grown exponentially since allowing foreign companies to issue debt in there.
BBVA Bancomer Preps $1.1bn+ Hybrid
Mexico’s BBVA Bancomer, owned by Spanish bank BBVA, is preparing to issue $500m worth of Tier I notes, (A1/BBB+) and upwards of €500m in Tier II notes. The Tier I notes are non-cumulative subordinated and non-preferred 15 non-call 10, due 2022 and callable in 2017 and thereafter. In year 10 they switch to floating rate and step up 100bp from the price to be determined next week. The Tier II notes are cumulative fixed-to-floating rate subordinated preferred 10 non-call 5 notes due 2017 and callable in 2012. Two simultaneous roadshows will kick off Monday and pricing may come Thursday. Credit Suisse, BBVA Securities and Deutsche Bank are joint-leads.
Pension Reforms Should Drive Diversification
Pension fund reforms in Argentina and Mexico are designed to promote more diversification in local investor portfolios to boost long term returns. But workers in those systems must be better informed about the net returns on their portfolio and encouraged to save more through higher contributions and tax incentives to save, concluded a panel on local pension funds at Labif. Moises Schwartz, the president of Mexico’s pension fund regulator Consar says reforms in Mexico include raising the threshold for foreign investments to 20%, allowing investors to buy structured notes and offering savers five different types of accounts according to their investment horizon. Schwartz notes that Consar allows savers to switch to another Afore based on its net return rather than lower management fees in a bid to align workers savings with fund performance.
Maxcom Earnings Strengthen
Mexican wireline company Maxcom posted strong quarterly earnings, but has yet to turn a profit and still had debt of approximately 4.1 times Ebitda in Q1, versus 3.5 times in the corresponding period of 2006. Jose Antonio Solbes, Maxcom’s CFO tells LatinFinance he expects leverage to start falling over the next year and predicts Maxcom will become “net income positive” in the second half of 2008. Maxcom, which is positioning itself as a telecom provider to low income residents in Mexico, is starting to gain credibility with some in the market. Jim Harper an analyst at BCP Securities says, “I like the name and they have further to go in the upside of the price.” Maxcom’s bonds are trading around 108.25. This marks Maxcom’s eighth consecutive quarter of sequential sales and Ebitda growth. The company, which issued $175m in 11% of 2014 notes last December through Morgan Stanley, reported consolidated revenues of $47m in Q1, compared with $31m in Q106, a 53% increase year-on-year. Q1 Ebitda of $13m was 51% higher than the $9m reported in the previous year and up 8% versus the previous quarter.
Mexico’s Televisa Launches 30-Year in Pesos
Grupo Televisa launched and priced Wednesday $412m equivalent in 30-year Mexican peso-denominated bond (Baa1/BBB) at par to yield 8.49%, or 67bp over the 10% of 2036 MBono, which closed the day at 7.82%. Guidance was 68-73bp over Mbonos. The bonds, payable in USD, have a make-whole flat to the MBono rate and change of control repurchase at 101. HSBC and Goldman led.
Anglo American Buys Michiquillay in Peru
Anglo American, the mining giant, has bought the Michiquillay copper project from the Peruvian government for $403m. Payment will be made over the first five years of the project and half will be allocated to a trust fund for the development and benefit of local communities. Michiquillay is an advanced exploration project in Cajamarca State, which already hosts several mines. “Anglo American believes that there is significant additional exploration potential associated with this deposit,” says the acquirer. Anglo American is also developing the Quellaveco copper project, where a feasibility study is expected to be completed in the first half of 2008. “These two opportunities in Peru are complementary and underline Anglo American’s confidence in Peru and its mining industry,” says the UK-based miner.
Petrotrin Prices $750m Amortizer
Trinidad & Tobago-based Petrotrin priced Tuesday $750m in 15-year amortizing bonds at 99.579 with a 6.000% coupon to yield 6.062%, or 140bp over the 10-year US Treasury. This was in line with expectations. The comp, Trinidad’s natural gas company NGC, was yielding 6.10% last week. Citi led the issue. Petrotrin is rated Baa2.
Colombian Rates Seen Rising
Colombia has hiked rates by 25bp to 8.50% and analysts expect the tightening trend to continue. “We expect the central bank to continue to push rates higher, with the monetary policy rate reaching 9.0% by the end of 3Q2007 because food price inflation might not revert substantially in the months ahead and the economy does not show signs of cooling off,” says Goldman Sachs. “We expect the central bank to continue tightening monetary policy for the rest of Q2, bringing the reference rate to the 8.75%-9.00% by the end of the quarter,” says Credit Suisse. “It will be difficult to comply with this year’s inflation target,” it adds. Fundamentally, the country still seems in good shape. “Colombia’s fiscal and external account fundamentals remain solid, without any serious deterioration likely in the short term,” says WestLB. However, it notes that with 40% of exports going to the US, it is the second most vulnerable to a slowdown there of all the LatAm countries.
