The government of Alvaro Uribe has pushed hard to improve Colombian’s fiscal profile – and with some success. Now it must lure back wary investors.
Category: Regions
Colombia Seeks Loans
Colombia is seeking loans of another $1.2 billion from the Inter American Development Bank (IADB). The highly-indebted country, which accounted for 12 percent of total lending approved by the IADB in 2004, has recently announced it would disburse $1.3 billion in emergency loans extended by the IADB in 2003. IADB president Enrique Iglesias has said that the bank plans to experiment in extending loans to Colombia in Colombian pesos.
Gutiérrez Holds On
Ecuadorian President Lucio Gutiérrez said he would not step down in spite of calls for his resignation from protestors and political opponents. Thousands of people took to the streets of Quito late last week to protest his decision to dissolve the Supreme Court. Gutiérrez declared a state of emergency to stop the protests but quickly revoked the measure Saturday after the military and police refused to take action against the protestors.
Beyond Japan
Latin American issuers have built up a following among wealthy investors in Hong Kong and Singapore – as long as commodity prices don’t plunge.
Congress Votes Against AMLO
Mexico’s lower house of congress voted 360 to 127 to remove Mexico City Mayor Andrés Manuel López Obrador from office to face charges of disobeying a court order, which could derail his 2006 presidential bid. López Obrador called on his supporters to peacefully resist what he called an unjust, politically motivated attempt to derail his presidential campaign. He specifically accused President Vicente Fox of conspiring to block his candidacy. Yields on Mexico’s ten-year dollar bonds have widened out by 100 basis points since hitting a record low on February 10th.
At the Forefront
Oil wealth is often considered a curse, but Trinidad & Tobago – behind
the foresight of its leaders – has built the Caribbean’s most dynamic
economy on a large and well-managed oil and gas industry.
Remarkable Results
Enrique García has turned the Andean Development Corp. from an obscure, second-string entity into the best-run development agency in Latin America.
Mexican Inflation Accelerates
Mexican consumer prices rose 0.45% in March as higher international oil prices pushed up prices for gasoline, natural gas and jet fuel. The Central Bank also said prices for agricultural goods are rising. However, the core inflation rate, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, fell to 0.31% last month from 0.42% in February.
Waiting for the Next Big One
Last year’s hurricanes spotlighted the Caribbean’s vulnerability. How will this year treat the region?
Mexico’s Backward Politics
There are many reasons to dislike Mexico City’s mayor Andrés López Obrador. He is a populist and a nationalist with retrograde ideas on economic policy. Amlo, as the mayor is known, believes in democracy but centralizes power in his own hands. He is personally honest, but surrounded himself with crooks. Yet to even consider barring the country’s most popular politician from running in next year’s presidential election shows how insecure Mexico’s ruling elite has become. His impeachment will begin Thursday on charges that he ignored a court order stopping the city from building a hospital access road on private land.
Mexico is Latin America’s biggest economy and one of just three in the region with an investment grade rating. But its political sophistication lags far behind Brazil, Colombia or Chile. The Revolutionary Institutional Party ruled Mexico for 71 years until the current conservative government of President Vicente Fox took office in 2000. Removing Amlo from the race would ensure the PRI’s return to power.
He has promised a campaign of civil disobedience if he is removed from office and prevented from running for president. Markets are in turmoil as well they might. Economic upheaval often coincides with government changes. The next government’s legitimacy would suffer if Amlo is barred from the election. Mexico is no banana republic, so it should stop behaving like one. It cannot hope to evolve into a modern and sophisticated state until its politicians grow up.
