Panama Aims for Sub 2% Samurai

Panama is hoping low global rates – especially in Japan – mean a Samurai issuance next year price through recent sovereign deals done with a JBIC guarantee. “The economic future of Panama is very much tied to Asia, and we want Asian investors to know Panama and be comfortable taking Panamanian risk,” Diego Ferrer, head of institutional relations at Panama’s public credit office, tells LatinFinance. The JBIC-wrapped deal should be $500m equivalent at 10 years and be completed by the end of January, he explains, to meet a debt maturity in February. The sovereign, with 3 out of 3 investment-grade ratings as of June, is aiming for a coupon under 2%, Ferrer says, which would be lower than Mexico, Colombia and the other issuers tapping that market in the past year under the JBIC program, which offers a 95% guarantee. After swapping to dollars, it would come in line with Panama’s curve, he says. The issuer is in the process of selecting banks for the transaction and should be helped by low interest rates, an increase in Japanese appetite for EM credit and Panama’s scarcity value, Ferrer says. Mexico was the last sovereign to hit the Samurai market, raising JPY150bn ($1.7bn) in 2019s at 2.22% coupon in December 2009. It has plans to tap again before the end of the year.