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Brazilian Beats Swiss to ECM Lead

Brazil’s Itau BBA leads the LatAm ECM league table, perhaps for the first time ever, after dethroning longstanding incumbent Credit Suisse. Itau has led $4.53bn worth of equity deals, across six offerings year-to-date, topping Credit Suisse’s $4.03bn across seven deals, according to Dealogic. Volume for the Brazilian shop is almost twice that of the corresponding period of 2007, but it has done less than half the number of issues. JPMorgan comes third for ECM, with $3.77bn in volume, followed by Unibanco, UBS and Bradesco. “We’ve been able to leverage our corporate business and relationships by providing top quality and proven execution in equities, M&A and fixed income,” boasts Jean-Marc Etlin, head of Itau BBA. Itau is also raking in fees, with $82bn from ECM, M&A and DCM this year. Itau had lead roles in mega follow-ons Redecard, Gerdau, and Vale, as well as OGX’s June IPO. And the pipeline looks firm, not just from Brazil. Itau has lead roles in two upcoming IPOs from non-Brazilian issuers, an up to $4bn jumbo from Argentina’s YPF – which is hoping to come this year – and San Antonio Internacional, which could be over $500m. Rivals are quick to dismiss the achievement, in what they say is an unrepresentative year for flow. Citi and JPMorgan also held pole position this year, only to fade away, they say. But based on strong ties to high profile issuers, Itau’s equity platform appears robust. Meanwhile, last year’s leader UBS appears to have dropped out of the race, while compatriot Credit Suisse struggles to distance itself from the slew of underperforming IPOs it launched over the past two years. Many of last year’s equity dogs featured questionable pre-IPO loans handed out to issuers for reportedly juicy fees.

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Tourism Developer Pulls IPO

Summer Brasil Turismo has canceled plans to go public on the Bovespa. The transaction had been on ice since the spring, when it was postponed due to poor market conditions. Following the expiration of its postponement period , the company formally removed its filing from the CVM. “We are considering various alternatives,” Andre Menezes, head of IR, tells LatinFinance, adding Summer Brasil would consider a private share sale, or an attempt to return to the public markets at a later date. Menezes declined to state the amount of proceeds Summer is seeking to finance its tourism-related developments in Brazil’s northeastern region. UBS was to lead the equity sale, originally announced in January.

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Argentina’s YPF Hopes for H2 IPO

Despite wretched market conditions for LatAm issuers, especially Argentine ones, YPF, the country’s biggest oil and gas company, is hoping to bring its up to $4bn IPO sometime in the last four months of 2008, say people familiar with the process. If successful, the transaction would set a new benchmark for Argentina, testing investor appetite for what is seen as a strong asset in a volatile, unpopular jurisdiction. The company, which last year was valued at some $15bn when its parent Repsol sold it to the Eskenazi group – a private consortium with ties to the government – plans to IPO 20%-24% of its equity. The company has improved operations, say officials close to the issuer, and the $15bn value is likely to serve more as a baseline value than an average one, they say. As such, the IPO could be in the $3bn-$4bn size range, according to a person familiar with the deal. No official results have been reported, so any estimates on the size of the IPO or the company are preliminary and unofficial. YPF is also heard to not be desperate to price the deal in 2008, meaning if market conditions remain unfavorable, it could carry the offering over into 2009. Credit Suisse and UBS are heading the deal, with Goldman and Itau BBA also carrying senior roles.

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San Antonio Drills for IPO

San Antonio Internacional, the Bermuda-based privately held onshore drill servicer, has filed for an IPO on the Bovespa through a listing of BDRs via Itau BBA, the lead, Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank. The company, whose assets are spread around Argentina, Mexico, Venezuela, Colombia, Bolivia, Ecuador and Brazil, is heard to be targeting an offering of well above $500m to be launched in September, say executives familiar with the company’s plans. San Antonio is rotating through the LatAm capital markets on a nonstop mission to solidify its capital structure. It just last month closed a $575m multi-part refinancing of a bridge loan, more than 80% of which carries spreads estimated at over 1,000bp over Libor. And it is currently arranging a pre-IPO loan with two of its underwriters that steps up to similarly lofty levels. The $100m 18-month financing will pay Libor plus 550bp in years 1-6, Libor plus 900bp in months 7-12 and Libor plus 1,500bp in months 13-18, according to the prospectus. Itau will take $75m while Deutsche will take $25m in the pre-IPO loan. San Antonio’s subsidiary Demeter also has a BRL50m loan due 2013 with Itau at DI plus 200bp. Bankers away from the deal claim Itau and Deutsche secured IPO mandates thanks in part to their lending capabilities. GP purchased San Antonio from Pride International for $1bn, $600m of which was debt. The company’s indebtedness stands at roughly $700m, according the prospectus, which also states adjusted Ebitda for 2007 was $251m. If San Antonio’s 2008 revenues stay on track with first half adjusted Ebitda of $124m, its current leverage ratio would be roughly 2.8x.

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Car Rental Plans Small-Cap IPO

Brazilian vehicle rental company LocarAlpha has filed for an IPO on the Bovespa Mais, a section of the exchange reserved for small and mid-cap listings. The Sao Paulo-based company would be the second to list on the exchange segment following the February listing of Nutriplant, which sold 2m shares at BRL10.00 each. LocarAlpha has hired Santander to lead the transaction, but has not disclosed the timing or expected size. The company generated BRL88m in revenue in 2007, up from BRL79m in 2006, from vehicle rentals, sales and outsourcing business lines. It plans to use the proceeds to expand its vehicle fleet.

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Analysts Predict Brazil Equity Rebound

MSCI Brazil is down 18.7% and underperforming GEM, but analysts remain constructive. Citi notes that the Bovespa is 21% lower than a late-May high of 73,516 and has broken below 50 and 200-day moving averages, but it is optimistic of an upside breakout. “We are positive long-term and expect the Bovespa to eventually break out of its 57,000-63,000 range to the upside; our end-2008 target is 66,000,” says Citi. The Bovespa slipped out of that band, closing 3.51% lower at 55,609 Monday. Citi stays overweight Brazil materials, utilities and consumer staples. UBS meanwhile remains constructive on commodity stocks, with 20% in Petrobras, 15% in CVRD, 15% in Gerdau, 5% in Magnesita, and 5% in Heringer. “We believe the sector was oversold in July, and we see a combination of attractive valuation, good 2Q results and supportive supply/demand,” says the Swiss shop. UBS is also raising exposure to real estate and consumer discretionary equity, following a sell-off, expressing the view via Rossi (10%) and B2W (15%). “Responsible monetary policy, large FX reserves, good balance of payments, low exports ratio as % of GDP, strong labor market, and under-leveraged companies provide a constructive environment for supportive domestic activity, sustainable GDP and earnings growth,” says UBS. “PE09E of 9.3x does not reflect these factors, and we see limited downside risks despite current global concerns.”

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UBS Tips Genomma Stock, Sees M&A

UBS has initiated Mexico’s Genomma with a buy rating and a MXP21.95 target, up from MXP15.40 Monday. Genomma Lab’s priced in June a $200m IPO at MXP16, the low end of a MXP16-20 target, in a deal managed locally by IXE and Santander, and internationally by UBS/Merrill Lynch. “At our price target, Genomma would be trading at a PE of 14.7 times our 2009 estimate, versus the current 2009E PE of 10.3 times,” says UBS. “This would still put Genomma at a significant valuation discount to most other global fast growing OTC/PC companies,” it adds, referring to over-the-counter drugs (OTC) and personal care products (PC), a universe it says trades at 16.1 times PE for 2009E. “We believe this company will enjoy rapid growth, high profitability, and low organic capex going forward thanks to a proven ability to select, brand and sell OTC/PC products, backed by highly effective advertising, complemented by largely outsourced manufacturing and R&D,” says UBS. The shop expects Genomma to use proceeds from the recent equity offering to buy brands and slowly expand internationally.

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