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Belize Risk Seen Rising

Moody’s says that while Belize is better prepared to face economic challenges than in previous years, it still is highly vulnerable to global recession, given elevated debt. The agency says its recent upgrade to B3 from Caa1 was primarily driven by improvement in key debt indicators over recent years, which reduce the likelihood of imminent default. However, the country should see a significant slowdown in growth in 2009 and 2010 as tourism and oil – leading contributors to GDP growth – weaken. “It will be important for the current administration to focus on ensuring fiscal sustainability,” says Moody’s senior vice president Alessandra Alecci. “Despite the improvement in liquidity and maturity profile . . . Belize’s public debt burden remains onerous both in absolute terms and relative to peers, constraining policy-makers’ room for maneuver in the event of a shock,” she adds. Moody’s classifies Belize’s susceptibility to risk as very high by global standards, but does not expect it to face funding or severe liquidity problems.

Posted inDaily Brief

Colombian Financials Ready Domestic Bonds

Colombian mortgage securitizer Titularizadora Colombiana and state-owned development finance agency Findeter each plans to sell bonds in the local market next week, according to broker Correval, a bookrunner on both. Findeter plans to sell COP250bn ($97m) in credit deposit notes with maturities of 18 months to 5 years, priced at spreads to DTF and IPC. The AAA issue is set for March 11. Titularizadora plans to sell COP150bn in 10-year fixed-rate bonds backed by a portfolio of mortgages, in a sale expected March 12. Inflation stood at 7.18% in January on an annualized basis. The government’s target is 4.5%-5.5%.

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